Lesson #1: One Season Does Not Maketh The System The historical results for the AH value 15 system show that this season is no flash in the pan – if anything it is doing even better than it has in the past. Here are the results for the system from the past six full seasons: First you'll note that last season made a small loss. Had we taken a very short term view of things we might have thought that this system was past its best and put it out to pasture liking an aging Premier League striker. Thankfully we have been able to take a long term view because we're wary of a key lesson in football betting – One season does not maketh a system. 313 bets may sound a lot, but in football betting, it really isn't. You need thousands of bets before you can really start to say if something is working or not. The system works by picking out value, which usually (but not always) means the underdog. But in some seasons the underdog bites more than others. Some seasons the top teams steamroller the opposition, while in others they give something back. There's no telling in advance what kind of football season you're going to have which is why you need to see a football system and a football strategy over the fullness of time, not one snapshot! Lesson #2: Asian Handicap Is Great…But You won't be surprised to learn that the AH value system uses Asian Handicap for its betting, while the Win Value systems use straight forward match odds. There are some pros and cons to this as the historical summaries for each system show: Asian Handicap betting means you can cover the draw more, with less frustration over those 'near misses'. Maybe you fancy Leicester to beat Man City and they're available at big odds. If you use match odds, then you're waiting on the big shock result, but if you use Asian Handicap, Leicester could still draw and you might get a result. The downside is that the odds are much lower with Asian Handicap, you're not going to land a big 15/1 or even 20/1 outsider that could see your results dramatically rocket higher. Nothing beats that feeling…except the feeling of steady profits that Asian Handicap betting can provide. You might notice that whilst the win systems have a higher ROI (less betting required to make your profits), the ROC is lower. The upshot is that because Asian Handicap smoothes out your betting returns, you can stake more per bet than when betting win only. This means the difference between a £3,556 profit if betting on the win 15 system, compared to £5,533.00 using the Asian 15 system. OK you might miss those big winners, but I know what position I'd prefer to be in! |
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