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Τρίτη 24 Ιουνίου 2014

World Cup System: 76% ROI & Final Group Game Bets



Help on how to make money betting with the Secret Betting Club.
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Dear Friend,

The outstanding form of our Free World Cup System continues apace with a further 12.14 pts profit gained since last Friday, with winning bets on Costa Rica, Nigeria, Algeria, Holland, Mexico, Ecuador, & Spain 

All told, this has taken our tournament profit tally to 26.72 pts profit from 35 bets, which equates to a ROI of 76.34%!

Due to this amazing run of form, a number of you have been requesting my help in providing the final set of group game qualifying bets, which you can find below. You can also follow the system's performance and bets by following us on Twitter or via our Facebook page.

...And if you have not yet read about our free system, its certainly time to do so now!




The odds for the next set of games throw up a few interesting selections and please note at the current prices I am not advocating a bet in the Nigeria - Argentina game. This is because both sides are priced up as offering very slight value and the market in this game looks about right.

In a few of the other games (Bosnia & Belgium) the value percentage is also quite low, so these also might be bets to skip. Please note as well that the call in the Portugal - Ghana game is the draw, which at 17.3% offers more value than backing Portugal who only offer 8% value.

For further insight, I have also copied my Q and A on the system below to give a bit more advice on how to play it.
Recent SBC Reports & Magazines (click each image for full version)

     
Your System Questions 

Given the success of this system in recent days a number of you have been emailing to ask a few questions about it, so I thought I would share my answers below...

What should I do when there is value in both a team to win and the draw?
This happens quite often, especially when the system highlights value on a big priced team. In terms of our official records, I back the highest value rated outcome, but there is plenty to be said for also backing the draw via the double-chance market, where you can often get 

Should I factor in any 'home-team' bias for South American sides?
This is a very good question as the system does allow to either select 'neutral' fixtures, which we have applied to all games except Brazil. Having watched the tournament, many other South American sides such as Argentina, Chile or Uruguay also have played in front of plenty of their own fans, creating a near enough 'home' atmosphere in their fixtures.

With this in mind, there is certainly something to be said for factoring in home bias on South American sides other than Brazil. For example, Iran would only have a 9.9% chance of beating Argentina if playing on neutral territory, yet if played on Argentinian soil this drops to 6.4%. The knock-on effect in terms of their betting value would drop from 163% to 70.2% - more than halving the recommendation. My suggestion would be to apply some weighting to this home factor for all South American teams, especially where the value is borderline.


Does this system just pick outsiders?
No, that is a common misconception as whilst the highest proportion of bets is on the larger priced teams, there have still been plenty of value calls for the favourites. For example we have had Brazil to beat Croatia, Chile to beat Australia, Russia to beat South Korea and Spain to beat Australia put forward so far. This system will often surprise with its value suggestion - its not always the outsider!

Is it worth using the Asian Handicap market when backing a big-priced outsider?
Yes, I certainly feel that is the best approach in certain games such as Iran vs Argentina, where they are 'officially' offering over 100% value at the odds of 26.60, but realistically we all know its unlikely to come off. Even our system rates them as  having just a 9.9% chance so still expects them to only win 1 out of 10 times (possibly less if factoring in some home bias for Argentina).

In this instance it is often better to back the likes of Iran and others in the Asian Handicap market. You can choose one of two options - take either the Double Chance market on Iran (you win as long as Iran don't lose) where they are as big as 6.50 or alternatively play the +2.25 Asian Handicap market at odds of 1.96. 

Similarly, if backing a short-priced favourite (Spain to beat Australia) you might also like to back them to overcome a handicap to improve the odds you take.


Even More Systems!

Hopefully the system will throw up a few more winners in the next few days to continue its strong form during this fantastic tournament. 

For those of you enjoying this free system, we also have a number of other profitable systems available to Secret Betting Club subscribers as part of our Ultimate Betting Package.

Full details available here.


Best regards,
Peter - SBC Editor
www.secretbettingclub.com

 
How To Download Your Free World Cup System

You can grab your copy right away - Simply click here to download the World Cup System immediately.

By clicking the above link, it should open up a PDF download - if nothing appears, then please do email us at info@secretbettingclub.com and we will email you a copy directly.

It's free to share – so please do forward on or copy for others to enjoy if you like what you read.

Like This? Why Not Consider A Secret Betting Club Membership...
If you enjoy this Free World Cup Football System and are after dedicated, independent help with your betting then you might like to consider a full Secret Betting Club membership.

First established in May 2006, we are a 100% independent source for reporting, reviewing and monitoring the world of betting advice, through the use of tipsters, systems and strategies.

We can point you in the direction of the best tipsters, systems and methods for making money betting via our 2 regular publications...
1. Betting Magazines – Published 6 times a year, each SBC magazine features several independent tipster reviews alongside expert interviews, systems and strategies to help your betting.
2. Tipster Profit Reports – Also published 6 times a year, these unique reports contain our independent tipster ratings, including those tipsters listed in our 'Hall of Fame' and at a glance comparative league tables on over 50 different tipsters..
The great news is that all of this available for the equivalent of just £1.52 per week and with a full money back guarantee if not in any way satisfied once you joined.


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