Irrational Behaviour When It Comes To Losing Back in 1979, Professors Kahnemann and Tversky presented an idea called Prospect Theory, which effectively outlined just how we view success and failure very differently. Our decisions it seems are often based on what we can win, rather than what we can lose – even if the end net result is the same. For example, consider two different punters. - Punter A places a £25 bet at 2/1 that wins him £50. His total profit is £50
- Punter B places a £25 at 4/1 that wins him £100. He then places another £50 bet that loses. His total profit is also £50.
When asked to choose whether they would rather be - the vast majority of people would pick Punter A, despite the fact that both Punters A and B ended up with £50 profit. Its irrational behaviour but it goes to show how the majority of people don't like losing! The Pain Of A Loser Is Twice The Joy Of A Winner This behaviour (or hatred of losing) also feeds back into evidence from studies that indicate that the pain suffered from a losing bet is at least twice as impactful as the joy gained from a winner. So if you watch every single bet you place – there is a great chance you will end up feeling pretty glum unless a very large majority of them win. You are ultimately fighting a losing battle… All of which is why I so often preach the need to be 'emotionally detached' from your betting to ensure you can cope with its regular ups and downs. This simply means you don't get too wrapped up in the success or failure of your bets – treating both winners and losers the same. Your bet wins – great. Your bet loses – oh well… Either way you walk away and don't let it concern you too much. |
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