3. Stats – Focus On Favourites Everyone's dream is to pick out a big priced Grand National winner and earn bragging rights with your friends, not to mention a nice lump of cash. It's true that favourites haven't been the punter's friend in the last three years, with the last few winners coming in at 33/1, 66/1 and 25/1 SP. Let's just say the bookmakers have been rather happy with those results, but up until 2012 backing all horses between 1 and 9 in the betting order would have produced a profit to Betfair prices since 1997. The number one favourite (including joint favourites) has won four times historically since 1997. This is enough to make you a profit of £18 to £1 stakes which is an incredible 70% Return on Investment. Should the longer historical terms exert themselves, then focusing on horses in the top half of the betting order could be the way to go. 4. Place To Win The Grand National is technically a 16 runner handicap paying out, which means you are paid out up to four places when each way betting, but most bookmakers (online) will pay out to five places with some even going up to six. The front end is also a good shout for each way betting, especially if your bookie is paying out five places as they often do for the National. Some even pay out six places. If backing all horses in the top three of the betting order, you historically have 1/3 chance of your horse at least placing. If backing all horses in the top six of the betting order, you have a 50/50 chance of your horse placing. In the last three years the outsiders have won it, but the top rank of the betting order placed more often than not: - 2012: Winner 33/1, but 2-4 were 16/1, 8/1 & 16/1.
- 2013: Winner 66/1, but 2nd & 3rd were 12/1 & 10/1.
- 2014: Winner 25/1, but 2nd & 3rd were 14/1 & 10/1.
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