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Δευτέρα 4 Απριλίου 2016

Kick Off: Kaká and Deuce do it again | Miazga shines in EPL debut

Here are the top soccer stories everyone's talking about this morning

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Kick Off: Kaká and Deuce do it again | Miazga shines in EPL debut

Here are the top soccer stories everyone's talking about this morning:

Lion Pride

Orlando City ace Kaká returned with a vengeance on Sunday, leading the Lions to a 4-1 rout of defending champs Portland.

Analyst's Office

In addition to going around the horn on all of Week 5's action, Armchair Analyst Matt Doyle wrote that the Chicago Fire are still piecing their identity together despite posting their first win of the season.

Troubles At Home

Previously unbeaten Sporting KC were annoyed by their performance in Saturday's home defeat to Real Salt Lake. And RSL did so despite missing five starters.

Finally!

Thanks to a Clint Dempsey winner, Seattle finally broke their duck on Saturday night.

Cali Drought

Galaxy boss Bruce Arena criticized his team's attack after they settled for a scoreless draw against Vancouver despite being a man up for most of Saturday's game at BC Place.

Red Rain

The Toronto Sun's Kurtis Larson opines that MLS refs need to take it easy with the red cards.

Bad News

Panamanian TV show "El Mercador" reports that San Jose midfielder Anibal Godoy will miss three weeks with a knee strain.

Recruiting Game

Chicago general manager Nelson Rodriguez has teased a pair of possible signings he's working on, one in midfield and one in attack.

Short Change

Canada attacker Tosaint Ricketts has been training with Toronto FC, but a local journalist says they lack the cap space to sign him.

Rumor Mill

The latest European name player to be linked with a move to MLS? According to an Italian report, it's Arsenal's Mathieu Flamini.

The Other Football

Leicester City's Christian Fuchs is currently busy fighting to win a shock English Premier League crown, but he eventually hopes to become an NFL kicker.

Miazga's EPL Debut

Chelsea defender Matt Miazga enjoyed a solid showing in his first Premier League start on Saturday, with one industrious YouTube user putting together an individual reel from the shutout win. On Sunday, the USMNT starlet credited his teammates for the smooth debut.

Options in Orlando?

Looking to extend their family, Orlando City have started an online dating site exclusively for their fans. Sort of. That was just one of a few news items worth a second look on Friday...

MLSsoccer.com Musts

Vote for Goal of the Week

D.C. United's slow start continues

Breakout the Hypercolor: We're throwing a '90s Party!!

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Παρασκευή 1 Απριλίου 2016

Kick Off: Everything you need to know to get ready for Week 5 in MLS

Here are the top soccer stories everyone's talking about this morning

To view this email as a web page, go here.

 
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Kick Off: Everything you need to know to get ready for Week 5 in MLS

Here are the top soccer stories everyone's talking about this morning:

Friday Night Live

To get you ready for the New York Red Bulls' Friday night visit to the New England Revolution (7 pm ET, UniMás), hear from Red Bulls midfield master Sacha Kljestan in the latest "10 Things" feature.

Happy Anniversary

The San Jose Earthquakes host D.C. United on Saturday (10:30 pm ET, watch on MLS LIVE) almost 20 years to the day they played the first match in MLS history on April 6, 1996. If you're the nostalgic type, you'll dig all the reminiscing ahead of Wednesday night's livestream of that inaugural match on MLSsoccer.com beginning at 7:50 pm ET. 

Top Left

It may fly under the radar sometimes, but Chris Tierney's New England Revolution teammates, though admittedly biased, consider him the best lefty in MLS.

LA Clipped-ers

LA Galaxy striker Robbie Keane will be out until June while recovering from knee surgery. Meanwhile, Galaxy teammate Steven Gerrard will remain on the shelf when they visit Vancouver on Saturday (10 pm ET, watch on MLS LIVE in USA and TSN2 in Canada).

The Naughty List

Speaking of the Whitecaps, their striker Masato Kudo has been suspended for this weekend's contest against the LA Galaxy.

Man Of The March

Real Salt Lake's Joao Plata netted the Etihad Airways Player of the Month award for March.

Lace 'Em Up

Sporting Kansas City could hand new Designated Player Diego Rubio his league debut when Real Salt Lake come to town on Saturday (8:30 pm ET, watch on MLS LIVE) in the league's most underrated rivalry.

We Meet Again

It's been five years since Veljko Paunovic played for the Philadelphia Union and he gets set to face his former club for the first time when he leads his Chicago Fire on Saturday night (5 pm ET, watch on MLS LIVE). Meanwhile, Clint Irwin and Drew Moor will be wearing Toronto FC red when they make their return to Colorado (8 pm ET, watch on MLS LIVE in USA and TSN in Canada).

Hoops Dreamer

A Scottish report says Celtic are ready to allow 29-year-old Honduran international wingback Emilio Izaguirre to leave the club to fulfill his long-held dream of joining MLS.

Take The Pledge

Major League Soccer hopes fans will join the league's drive against discrimination and harassment, "Don't Cross The Line."

Tommy Boy

FourFourTwo takes a feature look at young Orlando City defender Tommy Redding, who is likely to be in action again for the Lions as they host the MLS Cup champions Portland Timbers on Sunday (8 pm ET, FS1) as Kaka makes his season debut.

Tommy, Can You Hear Me?

New York City FC midfielder Tommy McNamara revealed that the Republic of Ireland has reached out to see if he is eligible to play for them (spoiler alert: he is).

The Wrong Question

Howler Magazine explains why the oft-repeated exercise of imagining what the USMNT would look like if soccer attracted America's best athletes is sorely misguided.

Long-Term Effects

You know the story by now: The US Under-23 national team failed to qualify for the Olympics once again. What will it cost the senior national team down the line?

Expansive Universe

Minnesota United owners got good news on Thursday: a tax break approval from the city of St. Paul on a new stadium. In other expansion news, MLS commissioner Don Garber is set to visit the Sacramento Republic to discuss their interest in becoming an expansion side.

Your Morning Toffee

USMNT star and Colorado Rapids signing Tim Howard joined Good Morning America for a chat on several topics, including his forthcoming move back to MLS.

Romain Adventure

Erstwhile Columbus Crew SC and US youth national team attack prospect Romain Gall has joinedSwedish third flighters Nykopings.

Henry Stays Up Late Late

Former New York Red Bulls star Thierry Henry dropped by The Late Late Show to take shots at host James Corden.

MLSsoccer.com Musts:

Extra Time Radio welcomes the regular league slate back

Watch: Matt Doyle and Brian Dunseth recap the international break

Watch: The most underrated rivalry in MLS

My Simple 77/1 Winning Bet Strategy

Help on how to make money betting with the Secret Betting Club.
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One of the common questions I invariably get asked when discussing my job is 'What's your biggest winning bet'?

Usually, I struggle to recall a huge winning bet as most of my winners come at 'normal' prices but this week I picked up a 77/1 winning bet (more about this later on) which has inspired my column today.

This big winner was based on a simple 'multiple' betting strategy I have adopted for some-time and one which I feel many other punters might also benefit from. Allow me to explain…

Comparing Single & Double Bet Value

Firstly, I want to set the scene with some mythical fixtures and prices to compare the profits from both single and double bets.

For ease of explanation, let's imagine that this weekend my beloved Everton are priced at evens (2.0) to beat Man Utd and Leicester are also evens (2.0) to beat Southampton. Effectively they are 50/50 shots.

Therefore, if you are able to get anything above 2.0 (evens) on those matches, then you've got a value bet and should make a profit in theory.

A quick check at the fictional odds available at the bookies shows that both Everton and Leicester are available at around 2.20 (6/5).

My options if I wanted to back both are as follows:
  • 2 Single Bets: Back Everton & Leicester at 2.20 as 2 single bets. Potential profit if both win: 2.40 points.
  • 1 Double Bet: Back Everton & Leicester at 2.20 as 1 double bet. Potential profit if both win: 3.84 points
As you can see the double bets will ultimately provide the greatest profit and long-term a 21% Return on Investment. This compares well with the 10% Return on Investment to be had simply backing single bets.

The main difference here comes in the strike-rate as the double bet will only win 1 in 4 times, compared to the 1 in 2 strike-rate the single bets have.

Ultimately it's this strike-rate for success (50% for single bets vs. 25% double bets) that can make all the difference and really test your patience when doubling up.

The question to ask is if you're willing to accept the risk of taking a longer losing run in exchange for higher profits?
 
Treble & Trixies

Whilst I draw the line at placing big accumulators I am also a fan of placing Treble bets or Trixie bets when you have 3 value selections.

It might be unlikely for a 10-fold accumulator to come in, yet it is more than reasonable to expect 3 bets to win or place (if placing an each way treble) every now and then.

For those of you looking to be even more creative, if you have 3 value tips, you might like to try a Trixie bet, which is actually 4 bets in 1: 3 doubles and 1 treble.

You needn't risk huge stakes on such bets, but they are a nice way to compliment single bets you place and can often pay out big on the occasions they come in.

Which leads me back to my bet earlier this week, where one of my regular trixies came in at decent odds. I placed a £1.25 each way Trixie on 3 horses at 7/1, 9/2 & 4/1, which all duly came in. Thus my £10 staked became £778.20. Click here to see my betslip

Admittedly I got a little lucky as my 7/1 winner was uplifted to 14/1 – but even if paid out at the lower odds, it more than made up for any losses incurred by past losing trixies. As I usually bet them each way, very often I get a few place and wins to make a few quid back and tick me over until these big wins come in!

Bad Single Bets = Bad Multiple Bets

Before you rush off to place a whole series of multiple bets – it's important to make clear that Doubles, Trebles & Trixies betting is only as good as the bets you are placing or the tipsters you are following who advise the tips.

If your bets don't make a profit as a single, they won't magically make a profit when bet as a multiple.

Many mug punters roll up short priced football bets in an attempt to push up their returns with no concept of value. This is why bookmakers sometimes love you betting on doubles and trebles – If not used correctly, they can multiply your losses as well as profits.

My own Trixie selections on the above winning bet were based on tips put forward by some of the high quality tipsters we work with here at the Secret Betting Club (step forward Jason James & Oddsbeater).

With access to a number of these tipsters, alongside placing all the single bets they put forward, it's also sometimes worth the occasional multiple bet when the odds remain in your favour.

For those of you with the patience and foresight to ride the losses in anticipation of the winners when they come, it can add another string to your betting bow.

I do hope you have enjoyed my article today – hopefully its provided some food for thought and options for your betting moving forward.

For even more betting advice and expertise, do consider a Secret Betting Club membership. Last year, over 85% of our members reported they made a profit from their betting – so why not sign-up today and see how we can help you!
 
Sign up for your instant Secret Betting Club Membership.

Best regards,

Peter Ling
SBC Editor
 
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